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Saturday, November 29, 2008

Palin leads among republican voters for 2012

A recent Zogby Poll found that, among Republicans, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin leads the pack of possible 2012 GOP Candidates:

Sarah Palin - 24.4%
Mitt Romney - 18.1%
Undecided/Not Sure - 16.2%
Bobby Jindal - 15.6%
Mike Huckabee - 9.7%
None of the Above/Someone else - 8.2%
Rudy Giuliani - 5.6%
Ron Paul - 2.9%

The Zogby numbers are similar to those reported by Gallup. When Gallup asked Republicans whether they would like to see the following run for President in 2012, Palin again came out ahead:

Sarah Palin - 67%
Mitt Romney - 62%
Mike Huckabee - 61%
David Petraeus - 49%
Rudy Giuiliani - 48%
Newt Gingrich - 47%
Bobby Jindal - 34%
Jeb Bush - 31%
Charlie Crist - 23%
Lindsey Graham - 21%

According to Zogby, Palin's strength is with all conservatives, conservative religious voters and gun owners:

Among Republicans, she gets the support of 30% of Born-Again Christians, 32% of weekly churchgoers, 34% of National Rifle Association members, 28% of current gun owners and 29% of self-identified conservatives. More GOP support comes from 32% of blue collar workers, 30% who shop weekly at Wal-Mart, 28% of NASCAR fans and 25% of both those with children under 17 and those with family members in the military. She scores lower among GOP voters ages 18-29, with 15%.  

[. . .]

Palin looks to be stealing Huckabee's thunder among Republican religious conservatives and working class voters. Huckabee is an ordained Southern Baptist minister, and his highest GOP totals still come from Born-Again Christians (15%) and weekly churchgoers (18%), but those numbers are about half of those drawn by Palin. Despite his populist economic message, he wins only 10% of blue collar Republicans.


The Zogby poll was conducted November 7-18 and has a margin of error of ±0.6 percent. The Gallup poll was conducted November 5-16 and has margin of error of ±4 percent.

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