The Washington Post reports the following Iowa results with 99% of Precincts Reporting:
Kerry 38
Edwards 32
Dean 18
Gephardt 11
Kucinich 1
Uncommitted 1
These results were surprising to the majority of the bloggers who were brave, or is it foolish, enough to go out on a limb and make a prediction. I was able to discover predictions by 40 bloggers. Eight got it right, predicting the phenomenal Kerry comeback. The eight bloggers with the Iowa bragging rights are:
KERRY
Randy Balko, The Agitator
Nick, at Anti-Climacus
Daniel Drezner
Vincent Ferrari, at Insignificant Thoughts
PontifexExMachina
Don, at Tusk & Talon
Shaun, at Upper Left
Kevin, at Wizbang
Congratulations! Well done.
If anybody cares the other thirty-two are here:
DEAN
Ben Domenech, at The Ben File
Carl, at Between the Coasts
McGehee, at blogoSPERICS.
Robert Holcomb, at Bush Blog
Calfornia Yankee
Captain Ed, at Captain's Quarters
Jonah Goldberg, at The Corner
Michael Graham, at The Corner
daily KOS
Dave, at The Hedgehog Report
Left Coast Conservative
James Joyner, at Outside The Beltway
The Patriette
Steven Taylor, at PoliBlog
PoliPundit
RealClear Politics
Lee, at Right Thinking
Ryne McClaren
Brian, at Tomfoolery
Chad, at Tusk & Talon
Eric, at Viking Pundit
Professor Tun-Ying, at The Yin Blog
EDWARDS
Jason Steffens, at Antioch Road
Calblog
Cedar Pundit
Discount Blogger
Hei Lun, at Duck Season
Mark A. Kilmer's Political Annotation
Jonathan David Morris, at Radical CowboysGEPHARDT
Blackfive
David Hogberg, at Cornfield Commentary
Jeff, at Tusk & Talon
Joe Carter, at the evangelical outpost, put it gently:
California Yankee should have trusted the polls.As I am busy soothing my wounded pride, visit The Command Post for numerous posts on what the Iowa results may or may not mean. The Command Post delivered great coverage last night, as promised.
Now that I have identified forty bloggers who were willing to post a prediction, I will post New Hampshire predictions and results, if anyone is willing to try again. If anyone knows of predictions I missed, please let me know.
UPDATE: The SmarterCop also predicted a Kerry win.
KC, I was betting on the Cowboys.
Posted by: California Yankee | Thursday, January 22, 2004 at 06:35 PM
The only one I got right was Dean in third.
BTW, I also predicted that the KC Chiefs would be in the Superbowl.
Ha!
Posted by: Blackfive | Thursday, January 22, 2004 at 10:48 AM
So Myria, what's your prediction for New Hampshire?
Posted by: California Yankee | Wednesday, January 21, 2004 at 09:17 PM
Well, I've posted a prediction... sort of.
Myria
Posted by: Myria | Tuesday, January 20, 2004 at 06:58 PM