Two additional polls released today find Barack Obama's lead over Mitt Romney slipping.
The new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that Barack Obama's lead over Mitt Romney has narrowed to four percentage points 47% to 43% from the eleven point Obama lead a month ago.
The telephone poll of 1,044 adults included 891 registered voters, of whom 304 were Democrats, 235 were Republicans and 302 were independents. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points for all respondents, 3.3 for registered voters, 4.2 for Democrats, 4.9 for Republicans and 9.8 for independents.
The new CNN/ORC International poll found Obama now leads Romney by nine points 52% to 43%. That is down from the eleven point Obama lead the poll found in March.
The CNN poll is remarkably at odds with the recent Rasmussen, Fox News and Gallup polls. A key difference in CNN vs. Gallup polls is that CNN found Obama leads by five points among Independents while Gallup found Romney leads among Independents by six points. The Gallup daily tracking poll is 5-day average of 2,265 registered voters and CNN polled 910 registered voters.
The CNN poll was conducted April 13-15, with 1,015 adult Americans, including 910 registered voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
I would put a little more stock in the Gallup poll over the CNN poll. In any event as Gallup's Frank Newport explains, polling done in the spring of an election year is not necessarily a reliable predictor for the election outcome.
It is way too early to get very excited by the presidential campaign polling.
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