A new St. Leo University Poll finds Donald Trump and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio lead the Florida Republican presidential primary.
Trump leads Rubio 26 percent to 22 percent, which is in the poll's margin of error of +/- 7 percent:
- Donald Trump - 26%
- Marco Rubio - 22%
- Jeb Bush - 15%
- Ben Carson - 15%
- Carly Fiorina - 6%
- Ted Cruz - 5%
- John Kasich - 3%
- Rand Paul - 2%
- Mike Huckabee - 1%
- Bobby Jindal - 1%
- Chris Christie - 1%
- Jim Gilmore - <1%
- Lindsey Graham - <1%
- George Pataki - <1%
The new poll suggests movement in the Florida GOP presidential primary. The Real Clear Politics poll average has Trump leading followed by Carson, Rubio and Bush:
- Donald Trump - 25%
- Ben Carson - 17% Marco
- Rubio - 15%
- Jeb Bush - 13%
The poll of likely voters was taken from October 17 - October 22 and released on October 28, 2015.
Frank Orlando, instructor of political science at Saint Leo University, said it is surprising that Jeb Bush is down by 10 percent vs. Trump, and amazing that Marco Rubio ahead of him by six points. "For someone [Bush] who was the governor of the state and still maintains his home here, that is pretty telling about his campaign."
The poll's national results found Trump and Carson leading with Rubio, Bush, Fiorina and Cruz more than ten points behind:
- Donald Trump - 23%
- Ben Carson - 22%
- Marco Rubio - 11%
- Jeb Bush - 8%
- Carly Fiorina - 6%
- Ted Cruz - 4%
Orlando sees the rise of Carson as evidence of Trump Fatigue
"We’re starting to see some 'Trump fatigue' setting in. Donald Trump thrives on the media attention. With the lull between debates and his upcoming 'Saturday Night Live' appearance (November 7), the soft-spoken, 'anti-Trump' candidate Ben Carson, has emerged as a viable candidate."
Orlando also noted, as found in many other polls, that when support for Carson, Trump, and Fiorina are combined, more than halh of the national likely Republicans voters support non-politicians over the professional ones.
Recent Comments